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2024-12-13 04:12:22

The annual strategy of brokers in 2025 will present "three major consensuses". At the end of recent years, the annual strategies of major brokers in 2025 will be held intensively, focusing on the interpretation of the new year's market, the market trend next year and the discussion and judgment of the allocation direction. Generally speaking, brokers have shown a "consensus" in three major directions. The first consensus is that it is generally believed that the A-share market is expected to become an important place for global capital allocation. In this direction, Chinese and foreign institutions have reached a consensus. The second consensus is to give optimistic expectations for the A-share market in 2025. The confidence of the organization's optimistic expectations lies in the fact that the market sentiment has obviously recovered under the boost of a series of positive policies this year, and there is still room for boosting in the medium and long term perspective. The third consensus is reflected in the direction of industry allocation. The new quality productivity based on semiconductors and computing power, as well as the policy themes based on mergers and acquisitions and market value management, have become a common optimistic track for many brokers. (Securities Daily)Mark Long will convene representatives of most political parties to hold consultations on the candidate for prime minister on the 10th. On December 9th, local time, the Elysee Palace announced that French President Mark Long would invite representatives of all political parties except the far-left party "Unyielding France" and the far-right National Union to hold consultations on the candidate for prime minister at the Elysee Palace at 14: 00 on December 10th, and try his best to find a way to reach an agreement so as to form a government in the interests of all.Murdoch, a media tycoon, failed in his attempt to change the family trust. Edmund Gorman, a court Commissioner in Nevada, USA, concluded in a ruling filed on Saturday that Rupert Murdoch should not change his family trust and concentrate the control of his media empire in the hands of his son Lachlan, and that Murdoch showed "malice" in his efforts to modify the irrevocable trust. At present, the trust plan will distribute the control of the company to Rupert Murdoch's four children, Lackland, James, Elizabeth and Prudence, equally after his death.


The regulatory authorities have made a heavy blow to market manipulation. During the year, there have been nine fines with the amount exceeding 100 million yuan. Since the beginning of this year, the CSRC has made a heavy blow to market manipulation. According to public statistics, as of December 9, the CSRC and the local securities regulatory bureaus issued 28 administrative punishment decisions (including 3 advance notices of administrative punishment disclosed by listed companies) for market manipulation during the year, and 61 persons (families) were punished, with a total amount of fines exceeding 2.352 billion yuan. Among them, 9 tickets were fined more than 100 million yuan. In the punishment of market prohibition, there is also a ticket for both identity prohibition and transaction prohibition. "During the year, the number and intensity of fines for manipulating the market increased significantly, which was the result of strengthening supervision, improving supervision technology, improving laws and regulations and enhancing investor protection awareness." Researchers said that with the application of advanced technologies such as big data analysis and artificial intelligence, the ability of regulators to crack down on market manipulation has been improved. In recent years, the laws and regulations related to the capital market have been constantly revised and improved, and the penalties for illegal market manipulation have increased, which is helpful to increase the illegal cost and form an effective deterrent. In addition, the public and investors' awareness of the protection of their own rights and interests has gradually increased, which has also promoted the reporting and exposure of market manipulation. (Securities Daily)Economist: Pork price, temperature, incremental policies and other factors are expected to push up CPI. Looking forward to the next stage, Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, predicts that the year-on-year increase of CPI may rebound. With the increase of meat demand in winter, the price of pork will rise seasonally. In addition, the further drop of temperature will affect the production, storage and transportation of fresh vegetables, fresh fruits and other products, which may push up food prices. The domestic package of incremental policies will continue to improve domestic demand and boost consumer confidence, which is expected to boost the core CPI. (Securities Daily)WTI January crude oil futures closed up 1.17 USD, or 1.74% to 68.37 USD/barrel. Nymex January natural gas futures closed up 3.45% at $3.1820/million British heat.


Israel told the United Nations that it had taken "limited and temporary measures" to deal with any threat to citizens, especially in the Golan Heights.The State Council, USA: Israel's actions in Syria are "temporary measures". When talking about Israel's military actions in Syria at a briefing on December 9, local time, the State Council spokesman Matthew Miller said that Israel said that these actions were "temporary measures" taken to defend its borders and respond to the withdrawal of Syrian troops from the region, and "not permanent actions". Miller said that the United States hopes to finally see lasting stability between Israel and Syria and supports all parties to abide by the disengagement agreement signed in 1974.The partner promoted by McKinsey is the smallest in many years, and McKinsey will accept about 200 employees to join its partnership, which is the smallest in many years.

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